Overview
About me
Currently in my Second Year of study, I am a Mathematics PhD student (funded by EPSRC) based within the climate systems research group. My supervisory team includes Prof. David B. Stephenson, Dr Ben Youngman and Dr Matthew Priestley.
Originally from Norfolk, I moved to Exeter in 2017 to complete an integrated Masters in Mathematics. After graduating in 2021 my Masters Research project titled "The distribution of aggregate storm risk in a changing climate" led me to start my PhD here at Exeter.
My work
My area of expertise is statistics, particularly random sums and their applications. My PhD project, New approaches for understanding climate change trends and variability in aggregate weather extremes, aims to understand the risks Europe faces from windstorms as the Earth's climate changes. The project is concerned with non-stationary random sums and will also explore extreme value theory.
My PhD focuses on "aggregate risk", the cumulative insured losses in a season. My Master's project (supervised by Prof. David B. Stephenson) highlighted links between storm clustering and the correlation between aggregate risk and storm counts. A greater understanding of how links like this may change in the future, including trends and the variabliity is vital if we want to mitigate the hazards created by living in the anthropocene.
Conferences
Below are conferences / events I have presented my work at:
- Royal Metereological Society Student and Early Careers Conference 2022, Manchester. - Poster presentation (online)
- European Geosciences Union Conference 2023, Vienna. - Oral presentation, Session AS1.14
- 9th European Storm Workshop, Toulouse. - Oral presentation
- Royal Metereological Society Student and Early Careers Conference 2023 - Poster presentation
- 46th Research Students Conference 2023, Sheffield. - Oral and poster presentations.
Below are University of Exeter Mathematics modules I have either helped teach or marked for:
2023/24:
- ENG1201DA - Mathematics for Engineers
- MTH2006 - Statistical Modelling and Inference
- MTH3024 - Stochastic Processes
2022/23:
- MTH0004 - Foundation Statistics
- MTH1004 - Probability, Statistics and Data
- MTH2006 - Statistical Modelling and Inference
- MTH3024 - Stochastic Processes
- Assisted in running a "R Beginners to Intermediate" workshop for Research staff and Postgraduate students
2021/22:
- MTH1002 - Mathematical Methods
- MTH2006 - Statistical Modelling and Inference
- MTH3024 - Stochastic Processes
Contact me
The best way to get in touch is by email: tpj201@exeter.ac.uk.
You can also find me on Twitter and LinkedIn.
Teaching
Teaching
