Mathematics and Statistics

Professor James Screen

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Professor James Screen

Professor
Mathematics and Statistics

Prof. Screen is a Professor in Climate Science within the Department of Mathematics and Statistics and Faculty of Environment, Science and Economy. His group conducts research on various topics in climate dynamics, across time and spatial scales; from seasonal prediction to multidecadal climate change, and from the Arctic to Antarctic (and everything in between). Prof. Screen is an internationally recognised expert in modelling the climate response to Arctic and Antarctic sea ice changes and was a founding co-chair of the Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project. He has won several awards in recognition of advancing understanding of the causes and global effects of polar amplification of climate change. 

 

Recent Publications

A full list of publications and citations can be found here.

 

2026

  • Zhao, J., S. He, Y.J. Orsolini, J.A. Screen, K. Fan, H. Wang & W. Tian, 2026: Winter climate impacts of summer Arctic warming are striongly mediated by the stratosphere. Nature Commun. submitted
  • Mudhar, R., W.J.M. Seviour, H.C. Bloomfield, A.H. Butler, C.I. Garfinkel, P. Hitchcock, J.A. Screen & S.I. Thomson, 2026: The influence of sudden stratospheric warmings on extreme European electricity demand. Meteorol. App., submitted.
  • Zhang, J., X. Xia, W. Tian, J.A. Screen, M. Xu & X. Long, 2026: Arctic sea-ice loss persistently increases the risk of East Asian baroclinic weather events. Sci. Bull., submitted.
  • Luu, L, E. Hanna, T. Woollings, X. Fettwies, J.A. Screen, S. Hay & J.l. Catto, 2026: How and why do Greenland blocking patterns vary significantly between different summer months? Environ. Res.: Clim., accepted.
  • Fang, Y., J.A. Screen, X. Hu, S. Lin & S. Yang, 2026: Consistent Strengthening of ENSO teleconnection in the Southern Hemisphere across future emission scenarios. Geophys. Res. Lett. in revision.
  • Wu, X., X. Tan, J.A. Screen, J.Catto, S. Yuan, B. Xu, X. Liu, T. Liu, L. Ma, B. Liu & X. Chen, 2026: Co-occurrences of multiple storm weather systems accelerate precipitation whiplash events. Sci. Adv., submitted.
  • Yao, M., H. Tang, G. Huang & J.A. Screen, 2026: Antarctic Ozone as a Precursor of Winter Central Asian Precipitation Beyond ENSO. npj Climate Atmos. Sci., in revision.
  • Gao, Y., M. Mu, J.A. Screen & G. Dai, 2026: Nonlinear synergistic effect of Arctic atmosphere and sea ice on sub-seasonal prediction of strong and persistent Ural blocking. Geophys. Res. Lett. submitted.
  • Zhang, C., J. Zhang, A.C. Maycock, J.A. Screen & X. Zhou, 2026: Barents-Kara sea ice variability drives stronger tropospheric anomalies over East Asia after 2000 due to weakened stratospheric polar vortex. J. Geophys. Res., revised.
  • Suitters, C.C., J.A. Screen, J.L. Catto, J.M. Jones, S. Li,  A. Orr, A.A. Scaife & H. Tang, 2026: Assessing the likelihood of unprecedented Antarctic heat in the current climate. J. Clim., revised.
  • Walsh, A., J.A. Screen, A.A. Sciafe, D.M. Smith & R. Eade, 2026: Interdependent extratropical atmospheric responses to Arctic sea-ice loss, QBO and ENSOJ. Clim., accepted.
  • Xu, M. S, Kang, H. Yang, J.A. Screen, Z. Ji, Y. Peings, J. Yang, Y. Hu, X. Chen & H. Yu, 2026: Far-reaching effects of Tibetan warming amplification on polar sea-ice retreat. Commun. Earth & Environ., accepted.
  • Tang, H., S. Li, J.M. Jones, S. González-Herrero, A. Orr, F. Otto, J.A. Screen, K. Clem, D. Bozkurt, J.L. Catto, C.C. Suitters, M. Maclennan & Y. Sun, 2026: Unprecedented 2024 East Antarctic winter heatwave driven by polar vortex weakening and amplified by anthropogenic warmingnpj Clim. Atmos. Sci., accepted.
  • Cai, Z., Q. You, J.A. Screen, H.W. Chen, R. Zhang, Z. Zuo, D. Chen, J. Cohen, S. Kang, W. Ma, S.K. Gulev, G.W.K. Moore & R. Zhang, 2026: Arctic coupled sea-ice loss and wetting linked to Atlantic Multidecadal VariabilitySci. Adv., 12, ady7595. 
  • Siew, P.Y.F., Y. Wu & J.A. Screen, 2026: Detectable human influence on reduced day-to-day temperature variability in the cold season driven by Arctic sea-ice loss. Atmos. Sci. Lett., 27, e70005.
  • Hay, S., E. Blockley, J.L. Catto, H. Hewitt, Y.T.E. Lo, J.A. Screen, D.M. Smith & H. Yu, 2026: The impact of Arctic sea-ice loss on winter weather in the British IslesQ.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., 152, e70012.
  • Screen, J.A., A. Audette, R. Blackport, C. Deser, M. England, N. Feldl, M. Gervais, S. Hay, P. Kushner, Y.-C. Liang, R. Msadek, R. Mudhar, M. Sigmond, D. Smith, L. Sun & H. Yu, 2026: Causes and consequences of Arctic amplification elucidated by coordinated multimodel experimentsCommun. Earth & Environ., 7, 23.

 

2025

 

2024

 

2023

 

2022

2021

 

2020

 

2019

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